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Commodity Intelligence Report
February 9, 2006

Winter grains in Volgograd and Rostov, two key winter wheat territories in Russia's Southern District, were likely subject to frost damage. Krasnodar and Stavropl to the south likely escaped damage. Damage was likely in Belgorod and Voronezh (in the southern Central District), and Saratov (in the Volga District)

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Estimated frost damage in Russia is based on a damage-threshold temperature of -15 degrees Celsius, indicating a reduced level of cold tolerance. Fall dryness had a negative effect on winter-crop establishment in Russia, but conditions were not as severe or as persistent as in Ukraine.

Last year, Rostov, Volgograd, Saratov, Voronezh, and Belgorod oblasts accounted for about 40 percent of Russia's harvested winter wheat area.

Note that the weather data indicate areas where winter wheat was subject to potentially damage conditions, and do not imply total losses within the indicated regions.
For more information contact Mark Lindeman | Mark.Lindeman@fas.usda.gov | (202) 690-0143
USDA-FAS-CMP-PECAD

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