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Commodity Intelligence Report
March 20, 2014

Paraguay Soybeans: Crop Affected by High Summer Temperatures


This season’s Paraguay soybean crop was affected by extreme heat and dry conditions in December and into January, reducing crop expectations to 8.1 million metric tons (MMT) of soybeans, 13 percent less than last month and 2 percent less than last year’s drought-affected crop. An estimated 3.1 million hectares (MHa) were planted, 6 percent less than last month’s estimate but 3 percent more than last year. Yield is expected to be 2.61 tons per hectare (T/Ha), 7 percent less than last month’s estimate and 6 percent less than last year’s drought-reduced crop. Sporadic rains during December and January further hurt later-planted soybeans and affected the second-crop soybeans, or soja zafriña.

Even with some of the crop planted earlier than normal to try to bypass the heat usually seen in December, the bulk of the crop and the soja zafriña were affected. The second-crop soybeans have grown by 65 percent this year as compared to last year due to crop export potential and expanded agricultural land. Paraguay continues to expand soybean agricultural land. Over the last two decades, agricultural land has grown from three to six percent each year. The area planted to soybeans has tripled over the last 20 years in Paraguay. Most of the new agricultural land comes from pastureland in eastern and southeastern Paraguay as well as in the northeastern provinces of San Pedro, Canindyú, Caaguazu, and Concepción. Some soils in the regions are better adapted to soybean production than others and the soils vary in water-holding capacity, soil tilth, and organic matter—needed factors to allow crops to produce well in the heat often seen in the middle of the dry summers in Paraguay.

Soybeans are utilized in-country, mainly in feed rations for the pork and poultry industries. A limited quantity of soy oil is used to produce biodiesel . In the past two years, however, the soybean crushing capacity has more than doubled in Paraguay. Earlier in the last decade most of Paraguay’s soybeans were exported as whole beans, but by next year more than half will be processed in-country and exported as meal and oil. The increase in crush capacity has grown due to two new, large crushing plants recently completed by ADM and earlier plant development through joint projects with Louis Dreyfuss, Bunge, and Copagra (CAIASA) which are now operating at full capacity. The new processing infrastructure continues to boost soymeal exports from Paraguay, creating a continuing demand for more soybeans to feed the processing plants. Grain terminals, too, in Paraguay are considering infrastructure improvements, so that loading soy exports can become easier.

Since the induction of President Cartes in Paraguay in April 2013, the agricultural sector has seen boosts to agriculture. The new law for allowing public-private alliances (APP) has allowed an expansion and improvement of public infrastructure. A project currently in the works is the dredging of the Rio Paraguay. This project aims to attract investment to widen and dredge the river to make it more accessible and navigable throughout the year. Due to being landlocked, the Paraguay river systems—the Paraguay and Paraná rivers especially—are one of the major means of freight transport. With 84 percent of the Paraguay soy exports transported by river, increased capacity of the River Paraguay will allow more regular-paced shipments and reduced shipping costs while improving export potential for the country. Usually, the River Paraguay is navigable up through Asunción by vessels of up to 11 meters draught, but in 2012 when dry conditions lowered the river’s depth, importers and exporters lost about US $250 million in potential revenues due to navigation problems.

Besides the government’s use of APP to boost the agricultural community investment in infrastructure projects, Paraguay recently eliminated the export tax on soybeans of 10 percent, replacing it with a value-added tax of 5 percent on the sale of all agricultural products as of January 1, 2014. This tax change will encourage more agricultural production in the country to flourish, including soybeans. Also, if an agricultural product is processed, a 2.5 percent rebate is offered to exporters, giving a further incentive to the agricultural industry. With strong economic growth projected for Paraguay, agriculture is gaining ground and clout in Paraguay while also boosting the soybean industry.

Figure 1. Potential expansion of soybean production in Paraguay is based on soil suitability and regional adoption of the crop near terminals and ports.


Figure 2. Major soybean production regions in Paraguay.

Figure 3. Dry conditions in December 2013, reduced soybean production potential as heat limited soy yields. Expanded production area, however, has allowed Paraguay to boost agricultural economics and to remain the fourth largest soybean exporting country in the world.


Figure 4. Major grain terminals for Paraguay near the river transport system.

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Current USDA area and production estimates for grains and other agricultural commodities are available on IPAD's Agricultural Production page or at PSD Online.


For more information contact Denise McWilliams | Denise | (202) 720-0107
USDA-FAS, Office of Global Analysis

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