Crop Explorer - World Agricultural Production (WAP) Briefs - Eastern Africa


Oct 12 2023 | Ethiopia Wheat: Drought and Conflict Reduces Wheat Production Estimate
Ethiopia wheat production for marketing year (MY) 2023/24 is estimated at 5.5 million metric tons (mmt), down 2.0 mmt (27 percent) from last month and down 0.3 mmt (5 percent) from last year. Harvested area is estimated at 1.9 million hectares (mha), down 0.6 mha (24 percent) from last month and unchanged from last year. Yield is estimated at 2.89 metric tons per hectare, down 5 percent from last year and down 1 percent from the 5-year average. Wheat yields are estimated below the 5-year average due to conflict in several wheat growing regions, high fertilizer prices, and mid-season drought during August and September. (For more information, please contact Curt.Reynolds@usda.gov.)

Apr 11 2023 | Ethiopia Wheat: Record Production from Favorable Rains and Increase in Irrigated Wheat Area
Ethiopia wheat production for marketing year 2022/23 is estimated at a record 7.0 million metric tons (mmt), up 1.3 mmt (23 percent) from last month and up 1.5 mmt (27 percent) from last year. Harvested area is estimated at a record 2.3 million hectares (mha), up 0.3 mha (15 percent) from last month and up 0.4 mha (18 percent) from last year. Yield is estimated at a record 3.0 metric tons per hectare, up 8 percent from last year and up 6 percent from the 5-year average. Wheat yields were above average due to well-distributed rainfall received in the main highland production zones and increased wheat area under irrigation. (For more information, please contact Curt.Reynolds@usda.gov.)

Jul 12 2022 | Kenya Corn: Production Prospects Down from Early Season Drought
Kenya corn production for marketing year 2022/23 is forecast at 3.0 million metric tons (mmt), down 200,000 tons (6 percent) from last month, down 100,000 tons (3 percent) from last year, and 15 percent below the 5-year average. Area is forecast at 1.9 million hectares (mha), unchanged from last month, down 50,000 hectares (3 percent) from last year, and 12 percent below the 5-year average. Yield is forecast at 1.58 metric tons per hectare, down 6 percent from last month, 1 percent from last year, and 3 percent from the 5-year average. Corn production prospects are reduced due to below-average rainfall from March through June and low fertilizer applications caused by high fertilizer prices. (For more information, please contact Curt.Reynolds@usda.gov.)

Jan 12 2022 | Kenya Corn: Production Down due to Below-Average Long-Rains Harvest
Kenya corn production for marketing year 2021/22 is estimated at 3.5 million metric tons, down 500,000 tons (13 percent) from last month and last year, and down 187,000 tons (5 percent) from the 5-year average. Area is estimated at 2.2 million hectares, unchanged from last month and last year, but down 19,000 hectares (1 percent) from the 5-year average. Yield is estimated at 1.59 metric tons per hectare, down 13 percent from last month and last year, and 4 percent from the 5- year average. Estimated corn area and yield are below the 5-year average due to an early season drought during planting in March and another dry spell in June during the critical flowering stage. (For more information, please contact Curt.Reynolds@usda.gov.)

Dec 9 2021 | Ethiopia Wheat: Conflict Reduces Harvest Prospects
Ethiopia wheat production for marketing year 2021/22 is estimated at 4.8 million metric tons, down 380,000 tons (7 percent) from last month, and down 300,000 tons (6 percent) from last year. Harvested area is estimated at 1.75 million hectares, down 150,000 hectares (8 percent) from last month and down 100,000 hectares (5 percent) from last year. Yield is estimated at 2.74 metric tons per hectare, down 1 percent from last year and down 1 percent from the 5-year average. Even though seasonal rains were favorable this year, a below-average harvest is expected due to declines in cropping activities caused by civil unrest in northern Ethiopia. (For more information, please contact Curt.Reynolds@usda.gov)

Feb 9 2021 | Ethiopia Wheat: Record Production from Favorable Rains
Ethiopia wheat production for 2020/21 is estimated at a record 5.3 million metric tons, unchanged from last month and up 375,000 tons (8 percent) from last year. Harvested area is estimated at a record 1.9 million hectares, unchanged from last month and up 50,000 hectares (3 percent) from last year. Yield is estimated at a record 2.86 metric tons per hectare, up 5 percent from last year and up 7 percent from the 5-year average. Wheat yields were above average due to favorable weather and well-distributed rainfall received in the main production zones in the highland wheat growing areas. (For more information, please contact Curt.Reynolds@usda.gov.)

Nov 8 2019 | Ethiopia Corn: Record Production Expected
Ethiopia corn production for 2019/20 is estimated at a record 8.4 million metric tons (mmt), up 0.4 mmt from last month and up 0.05 mmt from last year. Harvested area is estimated at a record 2.3 million hectares, unchanged from last month and last year. Yield is estimated at 3.65 tons per hectare (t/ha), up 5 percent from last month and nearly equal to the 5-year-average yield. Ethiopia and South Africa are the only countries in Sub-Saharan Africa with average corn yields above 3 t/ha.ne percent of the total area. (For more information, please contact Curt.Reynolds@usda.gov)

Aug 12 2019 | Kenya Corn: Production Down from Last Year Due to Early Season Drought
Kenya corn production for 2019/20 is estimated at 3.2 million metric tons (mmt), unchanged from last month, but down 0.4 mmt (10 percent) from the 5-year average and down 0.8 mmt (20 percent) from last year. Area is estimated at 2.0 million hectares (mha), unchanged from last month, but down 0.17 mha (8 percent) from the 5-year average and down 0.2 mha (9 percent) from last year. Yield is estimated at 1.6 metric tons per hectare, unchanged from last month, but down 3 percent from the 5-year average and down 12 percent from last year. Estimated corn area and yields are below the 5-year average due to an early season drought from March through May. (For more information, contact Curt.Reynolds@fas.usda.gov.)

Apr 12 2016 | Ethiopia Sorghum: Drought Reduces Sorghum Production
Ethiopia sorghum production for 2015/16 is estimated at 2.6 million metric tons, down 1.4 million from last year’s record crop. Harvested area is estimated at 1.5 million hectares, down 0.3 million hectares from last year. Yield is estimated at 1.73 tons per hectare, down 22 percent from last year’s near-record yield. Sorghum yield is down due to drought in the lowland sorghum growing areas, especially in the east. Sorghum is grown by small landholders in the eastern and northwestern part of the country, where the weather is relatively dry and soil fertility low.

Apr 12 2016 | Ethiopia Wheat: Production Lowered Due to Drought
Ethiopia wheat production for 2015/16 is estimated at 3.3 million metric tons, down 0.5 million from last year’s near-record crop. Harvested area is estimated at 1.6 million hectares, up 20,000 hectares from last year. Yield is estimated at 2.1 tons per hectare, down 13 percent from last year’s near-record yield. Wheat yield is down due to untimely and insufficient rainfall in the highland wheat growing areas. Ethiopia is the largest wheat producer in Sub- Saharan Africa, with most of the wheat being rainfed and grown on small farms in the highlands.

Apr 9 2015 | Sudan Sorghum: Record Area with Favorable Rainfall Yields Record Production
Sudan’s 2014/15 sorghum production is estimated at a record 6.3 million tons, up 2.8 million from last month and up 4.0 million from last year’s drought-affected crop. Harvested area is estimated at a record 8.6 million hectares, up 3.0 million hectares from last month and up 4.3 million hectares from last year. Yields are estimated at 0.73 tons per hectare, above the 5-year average of 0.65 tons per hectare, with abundant rainfall having good spatial and temporal distribution during the entire growing season. According to a January 8, 2015 report from the Government-led annual Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission (CFSAM), sorghum area reached record levels due to high prices following the previous year’s drought and from improvements in the availability of agricultural inputs and credit. Timely arrival of seasonal rains also contributed to increased plantings and favorable rains also provided above-average yields. In summary, the final record production was attributed to a combination of record harvested area and above-average yields from well-distributed rainfall during the growing season. (For more information, please contact Curt.Reynolds@fas.usda.gov).

Jan 12 2015 | Ethiopia Wheat: Record Production Estimated
Ethiopia wheat production for 2014/15 is forecast to reach a record 4.4 million tons, up 0.15 million tons from last year’s record crop. Harvested area is estimated at a record 1.8 million hectares, up 0.15 million from last year. Yield is estimated at a record 2.4 tons per hectare, due to favorable rainfall throughout the growing season in the wheat highland regions. Wheat yield has been increasing since 2002 due to favorable government initiatives that adopted improved seed varieties, increased fertilizer distribution, and expanded agriculture extension in rural areas. 3

Apr 9 2008 | Ethiopia: Record Output Forecast for Both Corn and Wheat
Ethiopia's corn and wheat production for 2007/08 are forecast to reach record levels for the third consecutive year. Corn production is estimated at 5.6 million tons, up 12 percent from last year, and wheat production is estimated at 4.9 million tons, up 32 percent. The year-to-year increases are attributed to favorable weather and well-distributed rainfall in both the main production zones and the marginal crop areas. Other contributing factors include record planted area and improved yields from the better availability of fertilizers, seeds, and credit. In addition, consistently high local grain prices have encouraged growers to increase investments in agricultural inputs and to plant more wheat and corn. (For more information, contact Curt Reynolds at 202-690-0134.)

Apr 10 2007 | Ethiopia: Record Corn and Wheat Crops Due to Favorable Weather
Ethiopias 2006/07 corn and wheat production are estimated at a record 5.0 million and 3.7million tons, respectively, up 20 and 27 percent from last years bumper crop. The record cropsare attributed to favorable weather and well-distributed rainfall received in the main productionzones, as well as in the marginal crop areas. Other factors contributing to the bumper crops wereincreased planted area and improved yields from better availability of fertilizers, seeds, andcredit. In addition, local grain prices have remained high over recent years, which haveencouraged growers to increase investments in agricultural inputs. (For more information,contact Curt Reynolds at 202-690-0134.)

Feb 1 1997 | KENYA: CORN PRODUCTION LOWERED DUE TO POOR SHORT-RAINS SEASON
Corn production in Kenya for 1996/97 is estimated at 2.2 million tons, down 0.4 million or 15 percent from 1995/96. Harvested area is estimated at 1.5 million hectares, down 14 percent from last season as unfavorable weather, low corn prices and government policies led farmers to switch to other crops, according to the U.S. agricultural attache in Nairobi. This year was plagued by a poor short-rains season, especially in eastern and northeastern Kenya. In northeastern Kenya, the rains lasted about two weeks instead of two and a-half-months; in other areas, the short-rains season began late and ended early. Corn production during the short-rains season usually account for about 20 percent of the crop. Also, the long-rains season (March through June 1996) was below-normal. Periods of dryness in April and May along with above-normal temperatures stressed the corn crop and reduced yield potential. Yield is estimated at 1.47 tons per hectare or 3 percent above the 5-year average.

Apr 1 2002 | Ethiopia: Corn Production Rises
Ethiopias 2001/02 corn production is estimated at 3.25 million tons, up 0.63 million from last month and up 0.15 million tons from last year. Area harvested is estimated at 2.0 million hectares, up 0.25 million from last month and up 0.15 million from last year. In general, favorable rainfall at the higher altitudes contributed towards good growing conditions and a bumper harvest for the country. However, rainfall at the lower altitude agricultural regions was less favorable, with some regions reporting lower production due to late onset, erratic distribution, or early cessation of rainfall.

Apr 1 2002 | Sudan: Sorghum Production Up
Sudans 2001/02 sorghum production is estimated at 3.77 million tons, up 1.27 million from last month and up 1.27 million tons from the previous year. Area harvested is estimated at 5.85 million hectares, up 1.65 million from last year. Area expansion and favorable weather contributed to the above average harvest and higher yields than in the preceding five years. In general, rainfall started on time in most regions and was well distributed throughout the season, especially in the important Central Region where nearly 40 percent of sorghum is produced. Area harvested for irrigated sorghum also expanded due to the good rainfall raising the Nile water levels higher than usual.


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