October 2017 Update

Bangladesh Rice: Heavy Rains Continue to Decrease Production Estimates

USDA estimates 2017/18 Bangladesh rice production at 33.0 million metric tons (milled basis), down 1 percent from last month, and down 5 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at 4.38 metric tons per hectare, down slightly from last year. Harvested area is estimated at 11.3 million hectares, down nearly 2 percent from last month and down 4 percent from last year. The area decrease is attributed to monsoonal rains since June that caused flooding across the major rice areas of Dhaka and Rajshahi. The excessive rains impacted the Aus and Aman crops, which account for roughly 50 percent of the total rice crop. In 2015 excessive rains occurred as well, but earlier in August and in different areas of the country. Heavy rains have persisted since May a nd cumulative rainfall is 78 percent higher than the longterm average for the country. The Bangladesh Department of Disaster reported that 600,000 hectares have been flooded in over 32 districts. They have also reported that several areas have been impacted by landslides in the major rice areas. Although the government has provided financial incentives to replant, farmers say it&39;s too late to plant rice this season. The monsoon is beginning to retreat and is forecast to end in mid-October. Daily rainfall is beginning to return to the long-term normal.

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